brfcase/Journal Prediction
Bayesian Feasibility Consult

Is your manuscript ready for a Tier 1 journal?

Submit your abstract for a custom Bayesian analysis. We compare your research against Tier 1 & 2 publication priors to predict your best target journals.

3 journals ranked by acceptance prior
Calibrated on 10,000+ submissions
Report in 24–48 hours

Peer-reviewed accuracy. Our Bayesian model is calibrated against 10,000+ successful and unsuccessful submissions to ensure your report reflects current editorial climates.

Your Final Deliverable

Bayesian Publication Analysis

Impact of Door-to-Balloon Time Optimization on 30-Day Mortality in STEMI

Cleveland Clinic Foundation · MGL-DEMO · Cardiology

Publication Success Probability

71%Strong Candidate

Posterior probability · Bayesian inference · n=1,247

Retrospective Cohortn=1,247Multicenter · US2019–2023Mortality EndpointIRB Approved

5

Strengths identified

2

Desk-Reject Risk Factors

3

Journals assessed

Manuscript Assessment

Multicenter design (n=1,247) exceeds JACC minimum sample thresholds for retrospective cohort studies.
Primary endpoint (30-day all-cause mortality) is well-defined and clinically meaningful for US cardiology editorial priorities.
Door-to-balloon time as independent variable is directly actionable, with high translational value.

Desk-Reject Risk Factors

Multivariable model does not include TIMI risk score, which is likely to trigger immediate reviewer rejection at JACC and Circulation.
Abstract word count (318 words) exceeds the JACC structured abstract limit of 250 words. This will result in an automatic desk reject without revision.

Target Journal Strategy

#1JACCTier 1

Journal of the American College of Cardiology · IF 24.0

68%

acceptance prior

First decision: ~18 days

Strong methodological alignment. JACC prioritises multicenter US cohorts with mortality endpoints. Your door-to-balloon data maps directly to current editorial focus on STEMI systems of care.

Methodology Alignment82%
Sample Size Adequacy74%
Impact Factor Fit91%
Prior Acceptance Rate61%
#2CirculationTier 1

Circulation · IF 37.8

54%

acceptance prior

First decision: ~40 days

Highest IF in cardiovascular medicine. Competitive but viable for multicenter studies with ≥1,000 patients. Methodology section requires strengthening before submission.

Methodology Alignment65%
Sample Size Adequacy70%
Impact Factor Fit78%
Prior Acceptance Rate38%
#3AHJTier 2

American Heart Journal · IF 6.1

79%

acceptance prior

First decision: ~25 days

Highest first-submission acceptance probability. AHJ has strong prior for US retrospective STEMI cohorts. Recommended as primary target if submission timeline is a priority.

Methodology Alignment88%
Sample Size Adequacy85%
Impact Factor Fit72%
Prior Acceptance Rate71%

Bayesian model trained on 10,000+ PubMed/Crossref clinical metadata entries · brfcase.com · Sample report

Our Process

Unlike basic keyword-matching tools, we run a multi-variable Bayesian simulation on your specific abstract, cross-referenced against current editorial trends at NEJM, JAMA, The Lancet, JACC, and 40+ high-impact specialty publications.

Your custom Publication Strategy Report is delivered within 24–48 hours.

Avoid the Desk-Reject Cycle

We identify journals where your specific data type has the highest prior probability of acceptance, before you submit.

Save Months of Resubmission

Get it right the first time by aligning with the correct Impact Factor tier and editorial focus for your study design.

Bayesian Rigour, Not AI Guesswork

We use statistical probability calibrated against 10,000+ real submissions. No NLP keyword matching or generic AI summaries.

Free. No account. Results in 24–48 hrs.